PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x44vanz

0x44a08c836c70fdf0cf38b6b89dda77b0e452c3b9

Realised P&L
$-14.5k
Volume
$1.96M
Markets traded
554
Open portfolio
$45.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded554
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8760.934$35.2k+$2.2k
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9020.936$6.2k+$226.40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8300.875$3.0k+$153.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4270.390$1.5k$147.82
Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$91.79
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks0.2000.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · No0.5000.000$0.00$40.00
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) · Nuggets0.5000.000$0.00$98.50
Nets vs. 76ers · 76ers0.7770.000$0.00$1.8k
Lakers vs. 76ers · 76ers0.2930.000$0.00$176.00
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers · Rockets0.6800.000$0.00$272.00
Nuggets vs. Mavericks · Nuggets0.3400.000$0.00$339.99
Hawks vs. Hornets · Hawks0.4900.000$0.00$245.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$479.70
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.3670.000$0.00$738.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 00:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.83$2.8k
06-12 22:22Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.991$2.9k
06-11 16:19Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.879$9.3k
06-11 16:18Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.992$9.6k
06-10 22:30Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.875$20.6k
06-10 20:16Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.8738845175$2.4k
06-08 01:46Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.90244798$6.0k
06-08 01:38Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4537589397$240.00
06-06 00:25Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.96$65.28
06-06 00:11Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.96$2.5k
06-06 00:09Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.9700234363$11.1k
06-05 00:53Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.304$68.85
06-04 23:20Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.27$59.40
05-31 20:33Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.78$115.78
05-31 15:52Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.031$48.88
Trader 0x44vanz · PolyBot