0x44vanz
0x44a08c836c70fdf0cf38b6b89dda77b0e452c3b9
- Realised P&L
- $-14.5k
- Volume
- $1.96M
- Markets traded
- 554
- Open portfolio
- $45.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded554
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.9kat 0.736Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$8.6kat 0.882Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$7.8kat 0.391Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
- +$6.9kat 0.624Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?
- +$6.4kat 0.575Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 00:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.83 | $2.8k |
| 06-12 22:22 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.9k |
| 06-11 16:19 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.879 | $9.3k |
| 06-11 16:18 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.6k |
| 06-10 22:30 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $20.6k |
| 06-10 20:16 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8738845175 | $2.4k |
| 06-08 01:46 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.90244798 | $6.0k |
| 06-08 01:38 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4537589397 | $240.00 |
| 06-06 00:25 | Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.96 | $65.28 |
| 06-06 00:11 | Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.5k |
| 06-06 00:09 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.9700234363 | $11.1k |
| 06-05 00:53 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.304 | $68.85 |
| 06-04 23:20 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.27 | $59.40 |
| 05-31 20:33 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.78 | $115.78 |
| 05-31 15:52 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.031 | $48.88 |