Ernestdfv
0x449d250f8eca3bf7bfcc582bedb64abd0b7c1e09
- Realised P&L
- $-72.51
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $3.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.360 | 0.385 | $3.85 | +$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 28? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.13 |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs · Team Vitality | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.77 |
| Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.83at 0.500Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$28.48at 0.500Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$26.89at 0.500Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$25.69at 0.500Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
- +$23.41at 0.500Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:53 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-25 11:13 | Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $18.90 |
| 08-20 11:05 | Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $22.77 |
| 08-06 03:38 | LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | BUY | 0.7 | $23.45 |
| 07-27 06:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $36.96 |
| 07-27 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.64 | $40.00 |
| 07-27 06:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.9989999343 | $15.00 |
| 07-27 06:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.9989999555 | $22.00 |
| 07-07 07:32 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $21.97 |
| 07-07 07:32 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.74 | $38.78 |
| 07-07 07:30 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $22.00 |
| 06-11 08:40 | Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.69 | $31.26 |
| 05-27 07:10 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $29.88 |
| 05-27 07:10 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.42 | $27.13 |
| 05-27 07:09 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.09 |