PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wbxxx

0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e

Realised P&L
$46.7k
Volume
$4.04M
Markets traded
542
Open portfolio
$28.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded542
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5340.585$11.0k+$963.52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3350.345$3.5k+$102.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2660.225$3.1k$578.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2610.460$2.9k+$1.3k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.5570.770$2.3k+$648.89
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.5020.585$2.1k+$295.01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3000.275$1.7k$147.92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.620$1.4k+$618.37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2020.207$41.50+$1.10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.6800.000$0.00$48.94
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.5940.000$0.00$183.91
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$25.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$11.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.6800.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:44US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.11$110.00
08-02 07:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.2697515744$1.1k
08-02 07:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.26994$1.3k
08-02 07:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.26$1.3k
08-02 07:32US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.36$1.8k
08-02 02:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.4829922629$100.00
08-02 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.28$432.01
08-02 02:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.27$27.00
08-02 02:19US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$200.00
08-02 02:18US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.371093748$100.00
08-02 02:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$1.6k
08-02 02:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$11.40
08-02 02:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$13.18
08-01 16:22US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4$204.72
08-01 16:22US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.39$138.47