wbxxx
0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e
- Realised P&L
- $46.7k
- Volume
- $4.04M
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $28.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.294US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$13.4kat 0.106US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.9kat 0.193US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.3kat 0.850Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.667US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 08-02 07:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.2697515744 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 07:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.26994 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 07:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 07:32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 02:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4829922629 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $432.01 |
| 08-02 02:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 08-02 02:19 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 02:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.371093748 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 02:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $11.40 |
| 08-02 02:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $13.18 |
| 08-01 16:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.4 | $204.72 |
| 08-01 16:22 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.39 | $138.47 |