PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

nowhereman

0x449bec25f2180d48c51fe66aea08968c0fce3b70

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$69.5k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$95.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.003$95.45$324.55
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Trump announce VP pick during the debate? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$40.00
Will Trump say "Shark" during the debate? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$10.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3140.000$0.00$2.1k
Rodriguez vs. Osbourne · Osbourne0.4000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$50.00
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$30.00
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Ortega vs. Lopes · Ortega0.3900.000$0.00$25.00
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvili · O’Malley0.5000.000$0.00$190.00
Will Trump say "Dementia" during the debate? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$50.00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 03:14Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.0194428221$6.42
02-09 01:13Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.1899999986$100.00
02-08 23:52Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.3299999996$500.00
02-08 23:43Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.3029251455$100.00
02-08 22:09Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.3299999996$500.00
02-04 22:36Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.32$1.0k
02-04 22:26Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$200.00
02-04 22:24Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$220.00
12-20 04:55Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BUY0.018$29.55
12-20 02:10Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BUY0.1049999997$250.00
12-19 18:07Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BUY0.0839999993$100.00
12-18 17:23Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BUY0.1072833057$900.00
09-15 00:25O’Malley vs. DvalishviliBUY0.5$140.00
09-15 00:24Rodriguez vs. OsbourneBUY0.4$100.00
09-15 00:24Ortega vs. LopesBUY0.3899999911$25.00
Trader nowhereman · PolyBot Pro