katherine72
0x449679436661a85d9f2b8dea6977dba91506e930
- Realised P&L
- $-137.14
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $6.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.560 | $6.78 | +$0.73 |
| M25 Slobozia: Borys Zgola vs Radu Mihai Papoe · Radu Mihai Papoe | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.28at 0.590Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
- +$56.87at 0.465Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
- +$19.01at 0.650Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$2.39at 0.390Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
- +$0.80at 0.684Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.9939999558 | $12.41 |
| 01-30 15:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.72 |
| 01-30 14:20 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $46.00 |
| 01-30 12:20 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.89 |
| 12-30 14:42 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.47 |
| 12-30 14:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999537 | $8.88 |
| 12-30 09:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.62 |
| 12-29 21:57 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.34 |
| 12-29 19:00 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.15 |
| 10-30 18:12 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.70 |
| 10-30 18:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9929999963 | $26.10 |
| 10-30 17:59 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.998999962 | $19.25 |
| 09-29 16:55 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.28 |
| 09-29 09:19 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.27 |
| 09-29 05:10 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.04 |