kakashka11
0x44885de9b5d15ff975862d1a3345f606b4b3b2ae
- Realised P&L
- $-83.77
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 815
- Open portfolio
- $5.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded815
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?
- +$3.65at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?
- +$3.17at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29?
- +$2.98at 0.407Solana Up or Down - August 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$2.35at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.2229999858 | $1.15 |
| 10-05 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.337 | $1.66 |
| 10-05 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.3099999982 | $1.70 |
| 10-05 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-05 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.216 | $1.08 |
| 10-05 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-05 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-05 00:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-04 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 10-03 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.65 |
| 10-03 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-03 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-03 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-03 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |