PolyBot

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Traders

kakashka11

0x44885de9b5d15ff975862d1a3345f606b4b3b2ae

Realised P&L
$-83.77
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
815
Open portfolio
$5.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded815
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:07Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 6?BUY0.2229999858$1.15
10-05 17:54Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5?SELL0.337$1.66
10-05 17:12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?BUY0.3099999982$1.70
10-05 17:10Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6?SELL0.38$1.90
10-05 08:22Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5?BUY0.216$1.08
10-05 08:08Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5?SELL0.22$1.10
10-05 00:23Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6?BUY0.31$1.55
10-05 00:23Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?BUY0.24$1.20
10-05 00:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?SELL0.51$2.55
10-04 11:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?BUY0.27$1.35
10-03 21:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5?BUY0.32$1.65
10-03 21:37Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4?SELL0.24$1.20
10-03 21:37Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 3?SELL0.21$1.05
10-03 21:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 5?BUY0.21$1.05
10-03 20:53Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?SELL0.29$1.45