allsoldout
0x44826980b38e0152673cdce2c62ac5f4ee540edd
- Realised P&L
- $202.54
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $569.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes | 0.817 | 0.999 | $569.15 | +$103.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.58at 0.942Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
- +$19.80at 0.830Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$13.81at 0.991Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?
- +$11.39at 0.907Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.46at 0.993Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:12 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $413.90 |
| 08-27 04:18 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 08-23 00:41 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-23 00:41 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $410.39 |
| 08-15 00:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.5k |
| 08-05 08:39 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 03:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.5k |
| 07-25 13:25 | Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.5k |
| 07-17 13:33 | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $121.95 |
| 07-14 00:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $116.64 |
| 07-09 12:19 | Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.999 | $116.48 |
| 07-05 13:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.33 |
| 06-14 15:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.951 | $110.34 |
| 06-14 15:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.904 | $110.23 |
| 06-14 15:25 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.957 | $55.19 |