PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nefita

0x448168f6ae93616a647fba1a31a56b52bfc43b06

Realised P&L
$-7.63
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$0.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on November 2? · Yes0.0030.001$0.16−$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? · Yes0.3600.001$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.2460.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 1? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 1? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 1? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
11-02 01:47Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on November 2?BUY0.0030824451$1.00
11-01 17:57Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
11-01 04:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-31 16:32Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-31 13:37Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-31 12:21Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 1?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-31 12:18Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-31 12:04Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 1?BUY0.7$1.00
10-31 12:01Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-30 15:23Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.8499997025$1.00
10-28 22:39Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.649999805$1.00
10-28 20:08Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-28 20:08Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.92$1.00
10-28 15:45Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsBUY0.8299999087$1.00