RobinsonKylee
0x4481664b218a85562c1beb3ff43f93932e613ce0
- Realised P&L
- $260.07
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) · Lakers | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.1k | −$40.89 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pacers | 0.500 | 0.495 | $315.81 | −$3.19 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.980 | $7.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.969 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina · Coastal Carolina | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Overwatch: T1 vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group A · T1 | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Ball State vs. Kent State · Ball State | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Pacers vs. Thunder · Pacers | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Thunder vs. Hawks · Thunder | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.77at 0.520Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
- +$136.19at 0.488Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
- +$40.79at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$5.98at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$5.97at 0.462Nets vs. Wizards
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:56 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $98.03 |
| 10-21 17:55 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 17:53 | Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $4.2k |
| 10-21 17:21 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $319.00 |
| 10-12 09:12 | Pacers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-12 09:11 | Nets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:10 | Thunder vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.2889999843 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 12:50 | Ball State vs. Kent State | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 12:49 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 12:43 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.7899999697 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 14:06 | Overwatch: T1 vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - OCS Midseason Championship Group A | BUY | 0.5899999813 | $12.00 |
| 06-08 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 13:45 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |