Alexantenars1
0x447f2592c2ea6f708f5379fd5647b50cd5f301fa
- Realised P&L
- $891.16
- Volume
- $483.2k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.912 | 0.967 | $1.8k | +$102.47 |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.921 | 0.915 | $925.67 | −$6.65 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.952 | 0.987 | $286.26 | +$9.96 |
| Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.880 | 0.955 | $23.78 | +$1.87 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.655 | $3.55 | +$0.84 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.345 | $1.87 | −$0.84 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.74 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance · Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$267.68at 0.929Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
- +$85.42at 0.980Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?
- +$51.65at 0.959Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals
- +$50.81at 0.051Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$45.07at 0.700Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:54 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.88 | $21.91 |
| 09-21 10:53 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.156 | $22.97 |
| 09-01 09:03 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.95 | $79.80 |
| 09-01 09:01 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.284 | $46.50 |
| 09-01 08:58 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.94 | $32.58 |
| 09-01 08:58 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9181896976 | $819.94 |
| 09-01 08:56 | Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.944284625 | $136.22 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.96 | $140.08 |
| 08-08 00:31 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0491961799 | $15.30 |
| 08-08 00:29 | Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9122340994 | $1.7k |
| 08-07 15:58 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.99 | $89.10 |
| 08-07 15:58 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.988 | $997.98 |
| 08-07 15:58 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.987 | $212.20 |
| 08-07 15:58 | Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.986 | $58.57 |
| 08-07 15:55 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.9k |