PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

user868

0x447e3858a0aed44e3989558f498834b8b57785fa

Realised P&L
$276.69
Volume
$52.9k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$55.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No0.9950.992$27.92−$0.08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No0.9970.997$12.99−$0.01
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9800.991$11.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7? · No0.9880.978$2.97−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 14:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 7?BUY0.9879999974$3.00
10-06 14:03Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?BUY0.997$13.00
10-06 14:03Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9949999829$28.00
09-21 03:06Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.992$12.00
09-21 03:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.98$5.00
08-01 14:52Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.9929998441$4.00
08-01 14:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.9889999977$3.00
07-27 03:07Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?BUY0.996$7.00
07-27 03:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?BUY0.9969999603$15.00
07-05 04:04Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.9929999448$10.00
07-05 04:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?BUY0.96$5.00
07-05 04:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?BUY0.996$20.00
06-26 03:07Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9759999969$5.00
06-26 03:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?BUY0.8799999956$8.00
06-08 08:48Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.9299997768$2.00