PolyBot

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Traders

trader-447bc4ff

0x447bc4ff9da28dd1e55db7291a518632bc6afb5a

Realised P&L
$-558.01
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$350.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.5310.585$294.04+$27.29
Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.3930.155$55.99−$85.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 21:59Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.55$9.69
10-02 21:46Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$4.50
10-02 21:43Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.53$66.97
10-02 21:42Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.53$190.09
10-02 21:34Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$6.14
10-02 21:32Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$3.93
10-02 21:32Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$4.16
10-02 21:30Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$3.24
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$3.09
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$2.10
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$3.86
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$2.14
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$2.82
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$2.32
10-02 21:29Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4$2.52