trader-447bc4ff
0x447bc4ff9da28dd1e55db7291a518632bc6afb5a
- Realised P&L
- $-558.01
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $350.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.585 | $294.04 | +$27.29 |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.155 | $55.99 | −$85.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$660.46at 0.422Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?
- +$181.98at 0.643Will Colombia win on 2026-09-26?
- +$163.63at 0.440Spread: Ravens (-6.5)
- +$156.25at 0.759Will England win on 2026-09-29?
- +$133.84at 0.769Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:59 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.55 | $9.69 |
| 10-02 21:46 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.50 |
| 10-02 21:43 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.53 | $66.97 |
| 10-02 21:42 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.53 | $190.09 |
| 10-02 21:34 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.14 |
| 10-02 21:32 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.93 |
| 10-02 21:32 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.16 |
| 10-02 21:30 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.24 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.09 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.10 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.86 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.14 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.82 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.32 |
| 10-02 21:29 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.52 |