0x44773B8D88be1F14745B089a2a8f98dcdF6fFb85-1761809950333
0x44773b8d88be1f14745b089a2a8f98dcdf6ffb85
- Realised P&L
- $-253.47
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,350
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,350
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.22at 0.174Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?
- +$12.15at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$12.12at 0.477Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
- +$9.26at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 22?
- +$8.50at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11? | SELL | 0.0647281553 | $0.53 |
| 10-11 03:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11? | BUY | 0.3639999665 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 03:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.73 |
| 10-11 02:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 12:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 10? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.12 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 10? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 11:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.89 |
| 10-09 10:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.0759999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.84 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.99 |
| 10-09 02:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 00:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 13:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $0.34 |
| 10-08 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 10-08 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |