DmJug
0x447366b884a62158c620ef95f2840aefe4d15743
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $172.2k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.945 | $3.2k | +$152.30 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.976 | $2.2k | +$49.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · No | 0.943 | 0.964 | $2.0k | +$43.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.732Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
- +$771.59at 0.823Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
- +$742.54at 0.907Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$656.96at 0.664Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$542.42at 0.853Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 14:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9431994269 | $2.0k |
| 08-23 08:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 08-22 19:36 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8993434793 | $3.0k |
| 08-18 19:22 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.9547328666 | $2.2k |
| 08-13 17:21 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.945456467 | $2.0k |
| 08-04 22:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9512814289 | $2.1k |
| 07-19 21:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $7.0k |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7024999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.709 | $227.60 |
| 07-19 19:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6229999994 | $200.00 |
| 06-22 05:21 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.0k |
| 06-22 05:20 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $5.72 |
| 06-21 22:27 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.008739085 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 20:29 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $900.00 |
| 06-15 20:28 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.9864001471 | $4.9k |