PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DmJug

0x447366b884a62158c620ef95f2840aefe4d15743

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$172.2k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8990.945$3.2k+$152.30
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes0.9550.976$2.2k+$49.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? · No0.9430.964$2.0k+$43.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 14:18Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.9431994269$2.0k
08-23 08:20Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?BUY0.94$1.7k
08-22 19:36Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8993434793$3.0k
08-18 19:22Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.9547328666$2.2k
08-13 17:21Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?BUY0.945456467$2.0k
08-04 22:42Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.9512814289$2.1k
07-19 21:45Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9099999999$7.0k
07-19 21:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7024999991$200.00
07-19 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.709$227.60
07-19 19:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6229999994$200.00
06-22 05:21Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.994$1.0k
06-22 05:20Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.005$5.72
06-21 22:27Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.008739085$10.00
06-15 20:29Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8899999999$900.00
06-15 20:28Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY0.9864001471$4.9k