0xfd62A5C61A66f97AbDd1cb2194ce519839fdB639-1777212047689
0x446d16d10b841469593cc20fb0ca558d4b45aadf
- Realised P&L
- $8.41
- Volume
- $247.06
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $228.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.935 | $187.00 | +$7.00 |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.875 | $41.18 | +$1.18 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:08 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 14:31 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |