NOLLLLL
0x4468c77733aa639b7367b71149579007674810af
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $46.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $468.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.82at 0.110Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$123.88at 0.473Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$71.34at 0.412Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?
- +$40.84at 0.717Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$6.74at 0.890Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 07:45 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1669999995 | $299.56 |
| 04-10 07:31 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.4 | $48.20 |
| 04-10 07:27 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0654912324 | $300.00 |
| 04-10 07:24 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $440.84 |
| 04-10 07:23 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $206.73 |
| 03-21 09:36 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.2898416689 | $91.00 |
| 02-21 16:00 | Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.1364360877 | $32.77 |
| 02-21 15:59 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26? | BUY | 0.4120636872 | $50.00 |
| 02-21 15:56 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | SELL | 0.0299054451 | $3.67 |
| 02-21 15:56 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | SELL | 0.0241139938 | $4.81 |
| 02-21 15:52 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 02-21 15:50 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1563517915 | $15.00 |
| 02-21 15:49 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1002227116 | $15.00 |
| 02-21 15:48 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 02-21 15:47 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1869158879 | $5.00 |