PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

NOLLLLL

0x4468c77733aa639b7367b71149579007674810af

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$46.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$468.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.182$199.09+$79.09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.081$144.40$155.16
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0720.009$124.67$875.31
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · Yes0.1350.000$0.00$150.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$200.00
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$173.65
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France · France0.0080.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$245.00
Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$32.77
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$40.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$399.98
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$33.00
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$91.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 07:45Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1669999995$299.56
04-10 07:31Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?BUY0.4$48.20
04-10 07:27Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0654912324$300.00
04-10 07:24Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.79$440.84
04-10 07:23Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.92$206.73
03-21 09:36Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.2898416689$91.00
02-21 16:00Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?BUY0.1364360877$32.77
02-21 15:59Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?BUY0.4120636872$50.00
02-21 15:56Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)SELL0.0299054451$3.67
02-21 15:56Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)SELL0.0241139938$4.81
02-21 15:52Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
02-21 15:50Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)BUY0.1563517915$15.00
02-21 15:49Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)BUY0.1002227116$15.00
02-21 15:48Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)BUY0.1$5.00
02-21 15:47Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)BUY0.1869158879$5.00