0x446159f00ecc5219687bd71f8bb76b575aa34280
- Realised P&L
- $-614.12
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.009 | $6.06 | −$12.88 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.002 | $1.69 | −$19.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.68at 0.193Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.32at 0.126Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$1.02at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5?
- +$0.35at 0.850Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.27at 0.790Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0779999331 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.392 | $45.49 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.62 |
| 07-15 20:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0779999824 | $4.00 |
| 07-15 11:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2269999885 | $11.36 |
| 07-15 11:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999892 | $12.90 |
| 07-15 11:28 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $25.99 |
| 07-08 19:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949998965 | $1.29 |
| 07-08 18:59 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3259998507 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 18:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999264 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 18:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999586 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 18:58 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 18:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3259999617 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 18:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949999656 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 18:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999586 | $3.00 |