LA-TAGUARA
0x4461000e0c8b1de94213838d3c784fd75c7bddb6
- Realised P&L
- $-166.13
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $41.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.011 | $41.86 | −$183.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.27at 0.539US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$2.49at 0.646US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 18:13 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0380000002 | $9.21 |
| 07-12 13:59 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999962 | $9.58 |
| 07-10 16:20 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.042810984 | $4.82 |
| 07-09 21:39 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0429999918 | $4.91 |
| 07-08 17:31 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0358709258 | $14.35 |
| 07-05 23:13 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0230633222 | $4.81 |
| 07-04 16:49 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0309999938 | $4.81 |
| 07-03 15:18 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999934 | $4.82 |
| 07-02 15:43 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999935 | $4.81 |
| 07-01 21:14 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999934 | $4.82 |
| 06-30 15:09 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999936 | $5.17 |
| 06-29 17:24 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.041022342 | $47.57 |
| 06-13 17:28 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0401404666 | $3.78 |
| 04-13 17:01 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999882 | $9.96 |
| 04-12 17:23 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.139999989 | $9.95 |