PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kallekuhs

0x4459462b1b2e9097835f52eb4f9072d11e15587b

Realised P&L
$-35.01
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.3100.026$1.26−$13.74
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$8.69
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28? · Yes0.1480.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 20:54Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3699999808$8.69
02-28 17:47Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?SELL0.26$1.00
02-28 17:45Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.6237499889$4.86
02-28 17:42Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?SELL0.157$4.88
02-28 17:36Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
02-28 17:32Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.5199999861$2.91
02-28 16:44Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY0.1479999886$10.00
02-28 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.0287081203$2.00
02-28 16:42Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
02-28 16:40Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.87
02-28 16:39Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
02-28 16:32Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.5333333333$3.88
02-28 16:32Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.4399999648$4.85
02-28 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.1831324949$3.96
02-28 16:20Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.6893588954$9.77