PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

papik159

0x44559f8f69d40819d4cb4d547f85eb47df1d4cd9

Realised P&L
$-264.95
Volume
$100.7k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$159.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.0190.021$98.16+$12.61
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.0210.021$61.02$0.13
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · No0.0520.000$0.00$2.59
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs KeepBest Gaming - Map 1 Winner · Wolves Esports0.6000.000$0.00$3.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.91
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$29.05
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00$199.18
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$6.00
Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.14
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:14Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.018$9.00
09-18 09:57Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.0375917472$3.34
09-18 09:15Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.018$1.98
09-18 08:50Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.01439209$25.90
09-18 06:12Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.021$1.01
09-18 06:00Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.029$0.67
09-18 05:42Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?SELL0.048$1.26
09-18 05:24Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.022$14.39
09-18 04:43Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.02$1.52
09-18 04:41Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.018$1.06
09-18 04:00Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.018$3.79
09-18 04:00Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.014$27.27
09-18 03:48Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.016$15.84
09-17 17:58Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?SELL0.0374096429$4.19
09-17 17:58Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?BUY0.0444826047$2.39