0x445396130b9a95e6460e211b6fa9382c1978fc75
- Realised P&L
- $773.60
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $235.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.180 | 1.000 | $114.66 | +$94.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $114.12 | +$101.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $3.91 | +$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.075 | $2.08 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$13.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.72at 0.038Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$128.20at 0.152Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$91.50at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?
- +$87.53at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?
- +$86.12at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1123829344 | $1.08 |
| 08-04 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.00 |
| 08-04 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.18 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.132 | $0.59 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1298162798 | $8.18 |
| 08-04 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1597486339 | $4.39 |
| 08-04 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.13 |
| 08-04 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1099999924 | $12.56 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.88 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.51 |
| 08-02 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1799999932 | $20.65 |
| 08-02 13:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4299999913 | $20.19 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.13 |
| 08-02 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.61 |