PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x445396130b9a95e6460e211b6fa9382c1978fc75

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$40.4k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$205.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.635$119.13+$100.37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.415$43.37+$32.92
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · No0.3500.997$38.43+$24.94
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.160$4.81$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? · Yes0.1000.002$0.22$14.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:01Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?BUY0.3499999922$13.49
09-21 09:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.1$14.82
09-21 08:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.1$18.76
09-21 08:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.1$10.45
09-19 13:26Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.01$1.71
09-18 16:13Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.08$1.60
09-18 13:06Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.17$7.82
09-18 10:52Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.17$5.11
09-18 10:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.03$0.30
09-17 19:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.0495580703$8.96
09-17 17:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.011$2.37
09-17 13:48Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.975080469$170.49
09-17 13:48Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.977$2.40
09-17 13:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.977$6.00
09-17 13:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.977$0.97