0x445396130b9a95e6460e211b6fa9382c1978fc75
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $40.4k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $205.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.635 | $119.13 | +$100.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.415 | $43.37 | +$32.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · No | 0.350 | 0.997 | $38.43 | +$24.94 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.160 | $4.81 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.002 | $0.22 | −$14.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$704.71at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?
- +$284.11at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$127.11at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$111.37at 0.394Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17?
- +$101.00at 0.115Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.3499999922 | $13.49 |
| 09-21 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1 | $14.82 |
| 09-21 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.76 |
| 09-21 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.45 |
| 09-19 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.71 |
| 09-18 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.82 |
| 09-18 10:52 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.11 |
| 09-18 10:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0495580703 | $8.96 |
| 09-17 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.37 |
| 09-17 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.975080469 | $170.49 |
| 09-17 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.977 | $2.40 |
| 09-17 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.977 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.977 | $0.97 |