PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4451C4979895A0E48C3cba30Be4e26De327679f7-1734289013823

0x4451c4979895a0e48c3cba30be4e26de327679f7

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$104.9k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$30.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.8900.885$28.84−$0.16
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6340.136$2.15−$7.85
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$85.00
Jaguars vs. Texans · Jaguars0.5100.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13? · No0.1050.000$0.00−$157.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Luxembourg vs. Germany end in a draw? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-04? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$5.50
Eagles vs. Packers · Packers0.5100.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$35.99
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00−$1.90
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025? · No0.9940.000$0.00−$2.00
Thunder vs. Pelicans · Pelicans0.0700.000$0.00−$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 19:22Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.8899999979$29.00
08-31 20:10Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.4799999931$14.00
07-25 22:11Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9929999874$14.00
06-09 23:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10?BUY0.998$14.00
05-29 13:57Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.762999989$10.99
04-22 02:22Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.992$11.06
03-08 08:02Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY0.9939999442$11.00
03-08 07:55Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.6339999802$10.00
03-07 14:14Nets vs. PistonsBUY0.1099532692$313.64
02-20 23:27Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? BUY0.996$13.73
01-26 13:02Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?BUY0.8$10.99
12-16 02:23Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.089366774$54.97
11-22 04:43Jets vs. RavensBUY0.1099999997$342.00
11-18 17:34Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18?BUY0.0113889932$9.00
11-17 23:37Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?BUY0.0128461582$2.00