0x4451C4979895A0E48C3cba30Be4e26De327679f7-1734289013823
0x4451c4979895a0e48c3cba30be4e26de327679f7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $104.9k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $30.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.550Will Usyk beat Fury?
- +$2.5kat 0.110Nets vs. Pistons
- +$430.03at 0.919Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
- +$380.00at 0.500Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?
- +$365.88at 0.570Oilers vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:22 | Will Belarus win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $29.00 |
| 08-31 20:10 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.4799999931 | $14.00 |
| 07-25 22:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999874 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 23:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.00 |
| 05-29 13:57 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.762999989 | $10.99 |
| 04-22 02:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.06 |
| 03-08 08:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9939999442 | $11.00 |
| 03-08 07:55 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6339999802 | $10.00 |
| 03-07 14:14 | Nets vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.1099532692 | $313.64 |
| 02-20 23:27 | Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.73 |
| 01-26 13:02 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.99 |
| 12-16 02:23 | Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.089366774 | $54.97 |
| 11-22 04:43 | Jets vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.1099999997 | $342.00 |
| 11-18 17:34 | Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18? | BUY | 0.0113889932 | $9.00 |
| 11-17 23:37 | Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18? | BUY | 0.0128461582 | $2.00 |