PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x445164444ec6a7581c0ac20eded04ef25eb8857f

Realised P&L
$-15.05
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$212.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · No0.8900.978$65.90+$5.90
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.920$59.35+$19.35
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7120.875$49.15+$9.15
Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7560.725$38.34$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 02:42Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999944$40.00
04-18 02:42Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.6908776207$42.51
04-17 23:42Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.65$40.00
04-17 23:42Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5037228862$22.76
04-17 20:41Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8853016288$40.00
04-17 20:41Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6422475076$29.63
04-17 17:46Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8668029223$40.00
04-17 17:46Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4522985989$20.66
04-17 16:46Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8755001158$40.00
04-17 16:46Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7564819442$40.00
04-17 00:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$39.96
04-16 23:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$40.00
04-16 19:23Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7121387253$40.00
04-16 19:20Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.65$38.80
04-16 19:05Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.6699999838$40.00