PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Concois

0x444c5ce4239defab98aee92c554ed45623a99d2e

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
419
Open portfolio
$67.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded419
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0460.062$48.98+$12.54
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7150.425$12.10$8.26
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0270.030$6.10+$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:17Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?SELL0.976$19.37
09-16 18:16Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$24.00
09-03 10:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.69$19.32
08-24 15:50Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?SELL0.023$0.41
08-24 15:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?SELL0.005$1.36
08-24 15:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?SELL0.006$1.39
08-24 15:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?SELL0.007$0.14
08-24 15:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?SELL0.013$4.93
08-24 15:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?SELL0.013$4.93
08-20 07:11Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?BUY0.55$4.26
08-11 06:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.074$1.11
08-11 06:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?BUY0.027$2.67
08-10 15:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.046$2.08
08-10 13:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?BUY0.039$0.51
08-10 13:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.15$3.00