Concois
0x444c5ce4239defab98aee92c554ed45623a99d2e
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 419
- Open portfolio
- $67.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded419
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.062 | $48.98 | +$12.54 |
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.425 | $12.10 | −$8.26 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.030 | $6.10 | +$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.29at 0.010Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$611.71at 0.037Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$462.40at 0.916Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$399.62at 0.019Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$340.82at 0.622Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:17 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.976 | $19.37 |
| 09-16 18:16 | Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-03 10:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.69 | $19.32 |
| 08-24 15:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.41 |
| 08-24 15:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.36 |
| 08-24 15:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.39 |
| 08-24 15:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 08-24 15:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | SELL | 0.013 | $4.93 |
| 08-24 15:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | SELL | 0.013 | $4.93 |
| 08-20 07:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.26 |
| 08-11 06:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.11 |
| 08-11 06:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.67 |
| 08-10 15:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.08 |
| 08-10 13:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.51 |
| 08-10 13:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |