Concois
0x444c5ce4239defab98aee92c554ed45623a99d2e
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $297.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.485 | $76.86 | −$36.43 |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.340 | $74.74 | −$51.15 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.049 | $38.31 | +$1.88 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.235 | $37.60 | −$8.80 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.956 | 0.976 | $19.36 | +$0.40 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.170 | $17.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.080 | $12.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.025 | $8.48 | −$0.83 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.040 | $7.70 | −$5.34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.29at 0.010Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$611.71at 0.037Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$469.23at 0.916Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$399.62at 0.019Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$342.56at 0.621Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.44 |
| 08-03 10:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 07-28 16:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.014 | $2.80 |
| 07-28 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 07-28 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.014 | $4.10 |
| 07-28 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.014 | $3.88 |
| 07-28 16:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.24 |
| 07-28 13:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 07-28 13:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.10 |
| 07-28 13:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.63 |
| 07-28 12:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 07-28 12:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.034 | $6.13 |
| 07-28 12:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.50 |
| 07-28 12:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.013 | $2.60 |
| 07-27 16:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.48 |