fshtsdgdsb
0x444b42473461eff64d7f6db2c938c3a834b4a31d
- Realised P&L
- $595.71
- Volume
- $559.2k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $1.7k | −$5.91 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $831.39 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?
- +$1.1kat 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 24?
- +$1.1kat 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 20-26?
- +$1.1kat 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 23?
- +$1.1kat 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $830.98 |
| 09-17 17:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-16 21:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.1k |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 16? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 09-15 18:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-15 18:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $351.30 |
| 09-14 04:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 09-13 04:01 | Will Solana reach $120 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-12 00:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 09-11 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-10 09:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $140.46 |
| 09-10 09:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.33 |
| 09-10 09:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.3k |