PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf99f9bA54105C5f2dABcA2b7661916815AD11138-1773179268471

0x4449941890d7308d8eef0890968620a82d9da1f9

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$49.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$213.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.255$94.44−$5.56
Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.1300.135$51.92+$1.92
Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.185$51.39+$1.39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0130.009$15.99−$5.61
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$40.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00−$43.55
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$89.86
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$100.11
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$20.00
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$19.75
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance · Ecuador0.3700.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:372026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.0128336439$21.60
09-30 15:35Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?BUY0.1799999999$50.00
09-30 15:35Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.1299999999$50.00
09-30 15:34Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
09-30 15:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.38$235.09
09-21 16:31Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3899999998$241.28
07-12 02:38Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.384999995$43.55
07-12 02:36Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL0.45$45.00
07-11 22:58Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.27$27.00
07-11 22:57Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.8225$28.20
07-09 20:34Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2624999807$9.00
07-09 20:33Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL0.2575$9.27
07-06 22:14Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$9.00
07-03 20:41Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5399999654$5.00
07-02 15:30Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.25$20.00