0xf99f9bA54105C5f2dABcA2b7661916815AD11138-1773179268471
0x4449941890d7308d8eef0890968620a82d9da1f9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $213.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.08at 0.195Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$46.25at 0.306Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$42.03at 0.327Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$18.75at 0.268Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$15.78at 0.280Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0128336439 | $21.60 |
| 09-30 15:35 | Will France vs. Italy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 15:35 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 15:34 | Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 15:32 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.38 | $235.09 |
| 09-21 16:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999998 | $241.28 |
| 07-12 02:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.384999995 | $43.55 |
| 07-12 02:36 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 07-11 22:58 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 07-11 22:57 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8225 | $28.20 |
| 07-09 20:34 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2624999807 | $9.00 |
| 07-09 20:33 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2575 | $9.27 |
| 07-06 22:14 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.00 |
| 07-03 20:41 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 15:30 | Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |