0x4449172B264b01116E53f1f5E4E33948253fE167-1768411879754
0x4449172b264b01116e53f1f5e4e33948253fe167
- Realised P&L
- $7.24
- Volume
- $333.40
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $22.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.53at 0.184Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$1.33at 0.600Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$1.08at 0.480Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
- +$1.06at 0.492Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$0.74at 0.577Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:08 | Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:40 | Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:39 | Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:31 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:31 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:30 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:28 | Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:27 | Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.5299999152 | $2.50 |
| 07-03 15:56 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:47 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 17:38 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.17 |
| 06-17 11:31 | Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 11:31 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 11:31 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 11:36 | Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |