masterdn
0x443e6edbcf468f3a0e651f96d961f2567ae98055
- Realised P&L
- $835.35
- Volume
- $466.0k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $1.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.022 | $1.13 | −$2.38 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.31 | −$0.31 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.00at 0.001Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
- +$58.00at 0.005Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
- +$47.69at 0.065Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$41.57at 0.007Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?
- +$41.22at 0.005Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:40 | Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0022 | $0.55 |
| 09-06 09:39 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 09-06 09:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0011030928 | $0.11 |
| 09-06 09:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0013444712 | $0.04 |
| 09-06 09:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 09-06 09:38 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.0023444712 | $0.07 |
| 09-06 09:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0011386001 | $0.08 |
| 08-21 08:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 08-21 08:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 08-19 18:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.0020696379 | $0.45 |
| 08-19 18:16 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 08-19 18:11 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-19 17:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 08-19 17:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 08-19 17:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |