PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

masterdn

0x443e6edbcf468f3a0e651f96d961f2567ae98055

Realised P&L
$902.93
Volume
$439.9k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$54.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$17.00$3.00
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2010.180$8.73$1.01
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1150.065$6.50$5.00
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$4.75$1.25
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0800.077$3.85$0.15
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1200.070$3.50$2.50
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0700.056$2.80$0.70
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$2.75$2.25
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$2.50+$0.50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1100.095$2.38$0.38
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 11:24Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?SELL0.74$2.47
08-01 11:22Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?SELL0.77$12.83
07-31 10:36Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0969343066$1.06
07-29 19:45Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?SELL0.06$0.23
07-25 21:56Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?SELL0.0019214536$0.41
07-25 19:04Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?SELL0.01$0.05
07-25 16:48Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?SELL0.03$0.38
07-24 10:50Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?SELL0.06$1.80
07-24 10:48Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?SELL0.12$5.39
07-24 10:43Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?SELL0.24$2.33
06-29 16:35Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.013$1.30
06-29 16:34Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?SELL0.013$0.02
06-21 22:25Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$1.00
06-21 17:47Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$1.65
06-21 09:05Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$1.35