masterdn
0x443e6edbcf468f3a0e651f96d961f2567ae98055
- Realised P&L
- $902.93
- Volume
- $439.9k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $54.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $17.00 | −$3.00 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.180 | $8.73 | −$1.01 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.065 | $6.50 | −$5.00 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $4.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.077 | $3.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.070 | $3.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.056 | $2.80 | −$0.70 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $2.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $2.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $2.38 | −$0.38 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.00at 0.001Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
- +$58.00at 0.005Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
- +$47.74at 0.065Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$41.57at 0.007Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?
- +$41.22at 0.005Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 11:24 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.47 |
| 08-01 11:22 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $12.83 |
| 07-31 10:36 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0969343066 | $1.06 |
| 07-29 19:45 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.23 |
| 07-25 21:56 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | SELL | 0.0019214536 | $0.41 |
| 07-25 19:04 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-25 16:48 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.38 |
| 07-24 10:50 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.39 |
| 07-24 10:43 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.33 |
| 06-29 16:35 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 06-29 16:34 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.02 |
| 06-21 22:25 | Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 17:47 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.65 |
| 06-21 09:05 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.35 |