PollMarshall
0x443e4a4c212efe0ef75c7411153cbc6c35461235
- Realised P&L
- $-620.88
- Volume
- $87.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,204
- Open portfolio
- $10.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,204
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.48at 0.706Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
- +$14.22at 0.933Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$12.13at 0.767Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$11.86at 0.944Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?
- +$11.10at 0.788Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 21:35 | Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 20:41 | Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:33 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | BUY | 0.8059999929 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 13:33 | Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Derry City FC vs. Galway United FC: Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Manchester City WFC vs. Liverpool LFC: Liverpool LFC O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 20:08 | Raufoss IL vs. Stroemsgodset IF: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.52 | $2.65 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Exact Score: Kasımpaşa SK 1 - 0 Konyaspor? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.89 |
| 09-17 20:07 | FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs. FK Kharkiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Exact Score: Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 0 CS Herediano? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.83 |
| 09-17 20:07 | Madura United vs. Psim Yogyakarta: Madura United O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $4.35 |
| 09-17 20:02 | Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-4.5) vs Cruz Hewitt (+4.5) | SELL | 0.4494073377 | $4.78 |
| 09-17 19:46 | Derry City FC vs. Galway United FC: Derry City FC 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:46 | Manchester City WFC vs. Liverpool LFC: Liverpool LFC O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 18:39 | Madura United vs. Psim Yogyakarta: Madura United O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |