PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Medium-Factor

0x443e418fbb4f4f1fd9673f4863a4e06a3c4afef8

Realised P&L
$-88.1k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1380.160$4.8k+$657.73
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.003$223.49−$458.60
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.0k
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$15.4k
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? · No0.1930.000$0.00−$192.74
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$16.9k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00−$48.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 05:20Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0011650013$69.90
09-10 05:20Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0019880776$59.24
09-10 05:19Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.141356691$4.6k
07-06 02:33Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.1184691004$1.2k
07-06 02:25Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.0364147307$1000.00
07-06 02:25Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.0376341662$1.0k
07-06 02:24Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.0399321142$1000.00
07-06 02:23Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.0492040531$1.0k
07-06 02:23Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.059712485$1.0k
07-06 02:22Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.0687718752$1000.00
07-06 02:22Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.064397795$1.0k
07-06 02:22Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1086226082$897.72
07-06 01:51Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1469999999$1000.00
07-06 01:50Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1468245563$1000.00
07-06 01:50Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1510119303$1000.00