AbleArcher27
0x443c0c18ef115fd109a17da97b7d4c8da1470676
- Realised P&L
- $209.33
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $38.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$496.64at 0.294Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$152.16at 0.396Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
- +$122.24at 0.290US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$103.48at 0.661Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$74.84at 0.401Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 21:39 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 13:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 13:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 11:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 05-22 17:22 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.0599999978 | $25.00 |
| 05-20 08:25 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 05-18 18:43 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.6489999991 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 16:53 | Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.108793571 | $25.00 |
| 05-07 21:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 05-07 21:31 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 21:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 04-24 09:19 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.2856917324 | $4.79 |
| 04-22 08:50 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.0244527953 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 08:49 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2693266756 | $25.00 |
| 04-17 19:14 | T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India | BUY | 0.0956507599 | $9.46 |