PolyBot

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Traders

AbleArcher27

0x443c0c18ef115fd109a17da97b7d4c8da1470676

Realised P&L
$209.33
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$38.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3380.375$27.72+$2.72
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.025$10.62−$89.37
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins · Bruins0.2920.000$0.00−$5.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$25.00
Iran leadership change by May 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 21:39Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.16$10.00
07-06 13:38Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2399999918$20.00
07-06 13:37Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-04 11:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.84$42.00
05-22 17:22Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.0599999978$25.00
05-20 08:25Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
05-18 18:43Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.6489999991$30.00
05-11 16:53Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?BUY0.108793571$25.00
05-07 21:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
05-07 21:31Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
05-07 21:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.5$25.00
04-24 09:19NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins BUY0.2856917324$4.79
04-22 08:50Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0244527953$10.00
04-22 08:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?BUY0.2693266756$25.00
04-17 19:14T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs IndiaBUY0.0956507599$9.46