PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x443bc94fd01Ed869d7f48ec4038943849809C229-1769879934999

0x443bc94fd01ed869d7f48ec4038943849809c229

Realised P&L
$-11.07
Volume
$666.59
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$14.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.795$6.00+$2.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4740.589$3.73+$0.73
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.335$2.39+$0.39
Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat? · Yes0.2300.215$1.87−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up0.5001.000$1.00+$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:15Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-28 20:15Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
08-26 00:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSELL0.66$5.59
08-26 00:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.5899999705$5.00
08-18 13:07Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-18 13:07Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-18 13:06Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4739999071$2.00
08-18 13:05Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4739998948$1.00
08-18 13:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-15 19:50Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?SELL0.023$0.42
02-10 23:03Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.5699998233$0.97
02-08 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.2014580338$0.99
02-08 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.6099998597$0.97
02-08 15:58Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.5$1.30
02-08 15:58Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.97