0x443bc94fd01Ed869d7f48ec4038943849809C229-1769879934999
0x443bc94fd01ed869d7f48ec4038943849809c229
- Realised P&L
- $-11.07
- Volume
- $666.59
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $14.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.795 | $6.00 | +$2.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.474 | 0.589 | $3.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.335 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
| Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.215 | $1.87 | −$0.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.62at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$1.19at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$0.84at 0.872Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$0.73at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$0.31at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:15 | Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 20:15 | Spain General Election: SALF wins a seat? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 00:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $5.59 |
| 08-26 00:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 13:07 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 13:07 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 13:06 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4739999071 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 13:05 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4739998948 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 13:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 19:50 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.42 |
| 02-10 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $0.97 |
| 02-08 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2014580338 | $0.99 |
| 02-08 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.97 |
| 02-08 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.30 |
| 02-08 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |