liangs
0x44304afa8a9372521eb4f99f61b2a0b0a1dc3d6d
- Realised P&L
- $73.28
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.010 | $0.15 | −$1.85 |
| Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B · EDward Gaming | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.35at 0.330Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?
- +$64.80at 0.365Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?
- +$51.07at 0.350Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?
- +$30.94at 0.380Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?
- +$30.70at 0.385Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,650 on September 27? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 16:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 12:03 | Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 04-29 16:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.94 |
| 04-29 14:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29? | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 10:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $9.91 |
| 04-10 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $10.78 |
| 04-10 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999982 | $9.85 |
| 04-10 06:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.0899999925 | $9.25 |
| 03-26 09:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 26? | BUY | 0.3565844277 | $10.17 |
| 03-11 14:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 11? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.46 |
| 03-11 08:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 11? | BUY | 0.3499999869 | $14.66 |
| 03-10 08:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10? | BUY | 0.7399999905 | $10.85 |
| 03-10 08:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 10? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.67 |
| 03-10 03:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.2399999918 | $20.00 |