Stonkbrokers
0x44301b519dfb006fb7da3bd85ae498a91a1c2cf8
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $246.2k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $312.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.007Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 20?
- +$1.3kat 0.074Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
- +$1.0kat 0.036Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 19?
- +$1.0kat 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?
- +$993.75at 0.041Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0319970492 | $90.00 |
| 10-15 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.1715218558 | $65.00 |
| 10-15 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.6137391774 | $272.91 |
| 10-15 15:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0177455291 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 15:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0790033725 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 14:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0616756899 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 13:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.534 | $21.48 |
| 10-15 13:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.5189689052 | $365.84 |
| 10-15 06:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.2182713248 | $97.06 |
| 10-14 21:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0536753789 | $45.00 |
| 10-14 18:51 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999979 | $115.00 |
| 10-14 18:51 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $267.73 |
| 10-14 16:28 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $101.84 |
| 10-14 16:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.1568470739 | $40.00 |
| 10-14 16:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 15? | BUY | 0.04 | $50.00 |