0x442ae192c3b8c8d9f797897295582d945ee41ca1
0x442ae192c3b8c8d9f797897295582d945ee41ca1
- Realised P&L
- $-12.56
- Volume
- $158.11
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.405 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.330 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.09at 0.492Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.02at 0.430Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$1.94at 0.530US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$1.68at 0.570SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:11 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 28 above $345? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:19 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:55 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:35 | Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 19:03 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999121 | $2.19 |
| 08-23 04:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5939997293 | $2.19 |
| 08-22 06:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.19 |