PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x44243A44b19c5270b7d75dC2e76D5C2652aa4Cc6-1760315139645

0x44243a44b19c5270b7d75dc2e76d5c2652aa4cc6

Realised P&L
$-12.9k
Volume
$981.2k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 19:19Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$45.22
10-26 19:16Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.109$1.88
10-26 19:16Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.108$3.24
10-26 19:13Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.068$13.60
10-26 19:13Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.067$4.42
10-26 19:13Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.06$3.80
10-26 19:12Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.7441214406$300.00
10-26 19:12Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.7197171609$300.00
10-25 23:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1359700865$100.00
10-25 23:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1598295152$300.00
10-25 22:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6533020521$2.3k
10-25 20:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
10-25 20:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.25$200.00
10-25 19:13Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.2299999998$200.00
10-25 19:13Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2099999999$200.00