0x44229756b5ae056f6ff608add3f2924655a15362
0x44229756b5ae056f6ff608add3f2924655a15362
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $102.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $391.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.368 | $391.74 | +$181.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$551.83at 0.669Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
- +$257.34at 0.586Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$147.37at 0.415Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$127.16at 0.690Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$123.40at 0.348Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:59 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.448 | $134.26 |
| 09-18 16:42 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.4555132 | $136.65 |
| 09-10 17:02 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.378 | $209.50 |
| 09-07 16:52 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.1980340523 | $439.04 |
| 08-16 18:09 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.19 | $145.42 |
| 08-15 12:16 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.2299730846 | $176.01 |
| 08-14 12:30 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $7.02 |
| 08-04 11:04 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.2899999997 | $443.91 |
| 07-23 00:00 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5019999733 | $5.91 |
| 07-23 00:00 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5019999908 | $25.98 |
| 07-22 23:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5019999942 | $35.71 |
| 07-21 12:42 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.1060744199 | $74.97 |
| 07-16 13:50 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3199525965 | $152.05 |
| 07-16 13:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3169113886 | $73.39 |
| 07-16 13:48 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.2295815762 | $76.76 |