PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JohnnyG

0x4420d224f923849330d8eefe15ba4163b3c9dd9b

Realised P&L
$-607.80
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$7.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3030.032$3.28−$28.28
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1880.054$2.87−$7.13
Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East? · Yes0.0870.010$1.15−$8.85
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.6300.018$0.29−$9.71
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4540.000$0.00−$278.65
Fed rate cut by July 31? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$144.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$10.00
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$19.25
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$85.00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00−$414.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:33Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$5.80
09-14 14:33Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$2.90
09-14 14:32Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$4.06
09-11 12:49Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.23$17.25
09-11 12:05Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.43$43.00
09-10 17:49Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.37$18.50
09-09 09:05Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.46$69.00
08-22 11:11Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB?SELL0.059$2.36
08-15 10:31Will Cade Klubnik be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB?BUY0.021$2.10
08-15 10:30Will Geno Smith be the Jets' Week 1 starting QB?BUY0.049$0.98
08-13 13:34Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.75$37.50
08-12 22:42Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.55$19.25
08-12 22:27Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.7$35.00
07-29 18:22Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3$15.00
07-29 18:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$1.3k