Teneta
0x441db7af91efd63a244c7e5beb6a7578de6a4dd9
- Realised P&L
- $-176.52
- Volume
- $118.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.81at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?
- +$41.00at 0.810Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$40.95at 0.856Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
- +$15.00at 0.017Netanyahu out by April 30?
- +$10.60at 0.750Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 09-02 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.66824 | $13.36 |
| 05-02 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 05-02 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2? | SELL | 0.009166364 | $0.76 |
| 04-11 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.12 |
| 04-11 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 12? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.56 |
| 04-06 07:06 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $23.16 |
| 04-05 05:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | SELL | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 04:24 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $40.00 |
| 04-05 04:19 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 04-05 04:11 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 04-04 06:34 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 04-03 08:53 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $5.98 |
| 04-03 08:50 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.72 |
| 04-01 10:47 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.60 |