fishingforprofits
0x441d58226c2ba9ca4b36a0987e8c69d5d3e2544d
- Realised P&L
- $57.8k
- Volume
- $4.53M
- Markets traded
- 760
- Open portfolio
- $15.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded760
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.7kat 0.349Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$20.9kat 0.005Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$12.2kat 0.978Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.0kat 0.496Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$6.6kat 0.989Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:17 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.0461402509 | $1.62 |
| 08-01 03:28 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.8290079857 | $167.14 |
| 07-31 23:47 | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.3767167128 | $95.35 |
| 07-30 21:39 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.5896307481 | $447.11 |
| 07-30 21:29 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.5321281439 | $312.07 |
| 07-29 00:49 | Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 07-29 00:47 | Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.001962304 | $2.34 |
| 07-29 00:47 | Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-28 23:45 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.741570544 | $2.3k |
| 07-28 02:44 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.4333533316 | $625.45 |
| 07-28 02:01 | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.8621949638 | $1.6k |
| 07-28 01:47 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.2910941577 | $146.14 |
| 07-28 01:36 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.43 |
| 07-28 01:36 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.336969697 | $111.20 |
| 07-28 01:35 | Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.7070525874 | $2.0k |