Coleridgedfgb
0x441ba09d5cc43a2a73fad3acf923867e34209fbd
- Realised P&L
- $127.08
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $10.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $10.07 | −$0.15 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · MOUZ | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.88 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.26 |
| UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Serghei Spivac | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.08 |
| Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.65 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.22 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.00at 0.500Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
- +$323.05at 0.500Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$262.90at 0.377UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- +$141.43at 0.500Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$15.27at 0.507Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:05 | Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.23 |
| 09-08 02:37 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.55 | $15.40 |
| 08-21 08:45 | UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 08-12 06:11 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.40 |
| 07-11 05:51 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.495 | $15.35 |
| 07-09 06:53 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.41 | $26.65 |
| 06-25 11:59 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.53 | $37.26 |
| 05-23 06:43 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 06:43 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $63.01 |
| 05-23 06:43 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 05-23 06:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 06:42 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 05-23 06:42 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.997 | $648.00 |
| 05-23 06:41 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 05-23 06:40 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.997 | $437.00 |