a601
0x4419039a6901fc718738c49a7fc4e573ee9f92f4
- Realised P&L
- $-57.63
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $3.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.070 | $3.20 | −$7.78 |
| Will Zama launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.94 |
| Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.61at 0.500Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$17.80at 0.500Solana Up or Down on January 26?
- +$17.80at 0.500XRP Up or Down on January 27?
- +$15.94at 0.500Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?
- +$9.39at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 10:20 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.472 | $4.72 |
| 04-03 10:08 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 04-03 10:07 | Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 04-03 10:07 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 03-20 12:46 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 03-20 12:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 02-27 07:14 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.918 | $45.90 |
| 02-27 06:25 | Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $17.40 |
| 02-19 06:47 | Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 02-01 09:18 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.912 | $91.20 |
| 01-28 12:53 | Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.24 | $19.20 |
| 01-06 14:01 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 01-06 13:52 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | SELL | 0.841 | $0.92 |
| 01-05 08:17 | Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | BUY | 0.5405194805 | $41.62 |
| 01-05 08:15 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.88 |