Lfg689
0x44114b01724bc80eafc404e89d1680dac5a1985e
- Realised P&L
- $-79.3k
- Volume
- $6.39M
- Markets traded
- 4,884
- Open portfolio
- $282.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,884
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo · Guido Justo | 0.470 | 0.985 | $157.18 | +$82.18 |
| San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter · Keegan Smith | 0.560 | 0.695 | $124.11 | +$24.11 |
| Korea Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ruse · Gabriela Ruse | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney · Braden Shick | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.20 |
| Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva · Federica Urgesi | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.664Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?
- +$4.3kat 0.803Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?
- +$2.9kat 0.840Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?
- +$2.8kat 0.501Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)
- +$2.7kat 0.485Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:19 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 00:13 | Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo | SELL | 0.89 | $47.34 |
| 09-21 23:32 | Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 23:01 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 22:54 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 22:47 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 19:10 | Korea Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela Ruse | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 18:51 | Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 16:48 | Porto: Susan Bandecchi vs Oceane Dodin | BUY | 0.6949999618 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 16:06 | Plovdiv 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Pol Martin Tiffon | SELL | 0.35 | $63.75 |
| 09-21 15:59 | Plovdiv 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Pol Martin Tiffon | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Plovdiv 4: Benjamin Hassan vs Pol Martin Tiffon | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 15:49 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrelli | SELL | 0.999 | $202.25 |
| 09-21 15:45 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrelli | SELL | 0.91 | $61.41 |
| 09-21 15:36 | St. Tropez: Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco Maestrelli | SELL | 0.92 | $82.77 |