tomatis22
0x4410aa63259c206a94152d474a81bff9e665e051
- Realised P&L
- $-113.24
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $359.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.430 | $105.53 | +$1.53 |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.219 | 0.205 | $90.12 | −$6.30 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.188 | 0.175 | $88.99 | −$6.39 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.275 | $75.26 | −$28.74 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: July · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.33at 0.450Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 16:55 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.84 |
| 10-19 11:14 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1875751562 | $101.47 |
| 10-16 07:25 | Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2193367577 | $96.42 |
| 10-16 07:23 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.423780612 | $104.00 |
| 10-16 07:23 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999993 | $104.00 |
| 07-05 10:05 | Nothing Ever Happens: July | BUY | 0.57 | $176.13 |
| 07-03 08:57 | Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 13:21 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BUY | 0.449999997 | $60.00 |