0x44101d5A5A8559DD747449b016Dbc792bcdc8Ed9-1788906326014
0x44101d5a5a8559dd747449b016dbc792bcdc8ed9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.03
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $99.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.42at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?
- +$4.45at 0.189Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 23?
- +$4.00at 0.415Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?
- +$3.08at 0.625Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 11?
- +$3.06at 0.846Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.13 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.35 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.17 |
| 09-24 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.65 | $2.54 |
| 09-24 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.90 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.06 |
| 09-23 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.32 |