PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x44101d5A5A8559DD747449b016Dbc792bcdc8Ed9-1788906326014

0x44101d5a5a8559dd747449b016dbc792bcdc8ed9

Realised P&L
$-1.03
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$99.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? · Yes0.2750.997$5.79+$4.19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? · No0.4020.410$4.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24? · Yes0.3540.465$3.94+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 24? · Yes0.2520.280$3.33+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? · Yes0.2760.390$3.24+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 24? · No0.6720.710$3.17+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 25? · Yes0.2750.285$3.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 24? · Yes0.2970.210$2.83$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? · Yes0.4410.615$2.79+$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.3890.480$2.47+$0.47
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 24? · Yes0.4000.985$2.46+$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 24? · No0.4480.520$2.32+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? · No0.5300.615$2.32+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24? · No0.6250.690$2.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24? · No0.4300.470$2.19+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 24?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 24?BUY0.25$1.00
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 24?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 25?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25?SELL0.81$0.13
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.38$2.35
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 24?SELL0.05$0.17
09-24 00:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on September 24?SELL0.65$2.54
09-24 00:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23?SELL0.996$2.90
09-24 00:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23?SELL0.994$5.06
09-23 23:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 24?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-23 23:10Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 25?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-23 23:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 24?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-23 23:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?SELL0.22$0.32