PolyBot

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Traders

coolrecruit

0x440603dfa02d8f2e2f59bbea50dcc1518c303966

Realised P&L
$-46.51
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$93.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.175$87.89$62.10
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$3.82$6.18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? · Yes0.0160.002$1.87$18.13
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$90.00
Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.5050.000$0.00$10.00
Will Sri Lanka reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.5460.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 23:01Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?BUY0.0982184228$20.00
03-08 23:00Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
03-08 22:58Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?BUY0.0772162691$30.00
03-08 20:20Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?BUY0.0664030161$10.00
03-08 17:58Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.64$42.66
03-08 15:11Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?SELL0.8703010779$144.53
03-04 16:25Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
03-04 16:24Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
03-04 16:21Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.54$31.38
03-04 16:20Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.18$64.09
03-03 22:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
03-03 22:08Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?BUY0.1070593268$10.00
03-03 22:08Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
03-03 07:06Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
03-02 22:53Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?SELL0.26$41.05