Stitzescu
0x4404054c45ed02f0b1fa5359cc48b7255703767d
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $128.3k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.002 | $1.14 | −$8.86 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote? · No | 0.726 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.00 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.83 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
| Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.567Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.5kat 0.250Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$618.96at 0.608Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
- +$296.90at 0.239Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$278.79at 0.580Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 05:13 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0131967602 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 03:38 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | SELL | 0.1259102069 | $25.44 |
| 04-07 20:13 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.099 | $20.00 |
| 03-28 11:55 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.037 | $92.50 |
| 12-10 23:44 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.044 | $110.00 |
| 11-27 23:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.08 | $28.57 |
| 11-23 23:41 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.99 |
| 11-23 23:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 11-22 12:29 | Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.11 | $94.87 |
| 11-20 08:55 | Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.1 | $86.25 |
| 11-02 23:22 | Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.0715906625 | $57.27 |
| 09-28 13:08 | Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote? | BUY | 0.7322781544 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 14:00 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 07-13 17:07 | Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 06-22 19:44 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |