PolyBot

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Traders

Donkolo

0x43f05ae1cbc007f07bbf34f6050f331238791b3d

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4260.245$3.5k−$2.6k
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2820.075$503.62−$1.4k
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.7900.495$247.50−$147.35
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1960.065$195.00−$393.97
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.6460.225$174.05−$325.95
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2610.060$156.00−$521.99
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6050.110$149.93−$674.33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.5830.000$0.00−$5.2k
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.5450.000$0.00−$544.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 09:17Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.2k
10-27 07:45Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?BUY0.998$785.68
10-24 08:51Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?BUY0.999$3.3k
10-22 14:00Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.997$1.3k
10-21 06:23Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.999$3.3k
10-18 16:33Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.999$3.3k
10-15 17:58Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.998$1.0k
10-14 16:42Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 14?BUY0.999$228.77
10-14 16:41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.998$59.48
10-14 11:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 14?BUY0.999$110.03
10-14 11:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 16?BUY0.996$64.74
10-14 11:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 15?BUY0.994$4.97
10-14 11:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?BUY0.994$497.00
10-14 11:42Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?BUY0.995$497.50
10-14 11:42Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?BUY0.995$104.01