Edgar696
0x43efc5f0c3c271d2433289324d41bbbbbddb7d5a
- Realised P&L
- $-301.70
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,149
- Open portfolio
- $32.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,149
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.305 | $6.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 20? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.560 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.995 | $4.89 | +$1.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.998 | $4.34 | +$1.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.420 | $3.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.390 | $3.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.265 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.370 | $1.85 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.29at 0.188Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?
- +$30.67at 0.033Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$29.61at 0.083Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?
- +$28.19at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$26.68at 0.169Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.553206579 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.23 |
| 09-20 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.14 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.42 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.82 |
| 09-20 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.31 |
| 09-20 14:39 | XRP Up or Down - September 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999692 | $3.95 |
| 09-20 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |