0x43ee7563761a2f6c212f9d34770e63a82616bd41
0x43ee7563761a2f6c212f9d34770e63a82616bd41
- Realised P&L
- $-0.35
- Volume
- $135.07
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.285 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.680 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.220 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.52at 0.648Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
- +$3.51at 0.740Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$1.92at 0.760Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
- +$1.83at 0.808Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$1.41at 0.530Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of July 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:39 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:07 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:54 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:54 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.42 |
| 09-09 23:10 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 09-03 14:34 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 03:03 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.636999982 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 17:09 | Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.62 |
| 07-31 23:17 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.93 |
| 07-27 12:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.56 |
| 07-25 12:14 | Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7699999887 | $2.73 |
| 07-25 00:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.38 |